Win probability
0.0%
22.52%
Top 5
34.82%
Top 10
50.93%
Top 20
81.4%
Make Cut
Skill profile vs course demands
Player
Course demands
Key probabilities
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Course history
0
Avg Finish
0
Starts
-
Key Insights
The field's best approach player at +0.62 SG:APP.
A top-1 course fit in the field based on SG alignment with course demands.
Only 0 players in this field have a higher SG:APP.
The market rates Straka higher than the model. Consensus odds imply 10.6% but the model gives 7.2%.
Hard to predict: recent results swing from 2nd to 50th.
Compound
Market disagrees with the model: Straka is 9.5 with bookmakers but the model sees only 7.2% (implied 13.9). The market is more bullish than the data.
Model Top 3
Sepp Straka
Rank #45#1
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.80
Recent form
T8
T13
T50
T2
T18
Key edge: +0.62 Approach
Casey Jarvis
Rank #85#2
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.39
Recent form
Key edge: +0.34 Approach
Eugenio Chacarra
Rank #98#3
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.42
Recent form
T21
Key edge: +0.30 Off the Tee
Strokes Gained BreakdownSG Total: +0.80
Off the Tee+0.07
Tour rank: Top 80
Approach+0.62
Tour rank: Top 15
Around Green+0.02
Tour rank: Top 80
Putting+0.10
Tour rank: Top 80
Sepp Straka — VolatilityModerate
Std Dev
16.8
Top 10
40%
MC Rate
0%
Consistency
60%
Approach Skill Profile
Loading approach data…
Full Field Predictions
#PlayerWinTop 5Top 10Top 20Cut