Tournament Complete
🏆 WINNERMichael Hollick(-18)
MH
World #350· RSA·0 starts·Best: -
RSA·0 starts·Best: -Steady
Win probability
0.0%
1.16%
Top 5
2.73%
Top 10
6.84%
Top 20
38.59%
Make Cut
Skill profile vs course demands
Player
Course demands
Key probabilities
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Course history
0
Avg Finish
0
Starts
-
Key Insights
Off the Tee matters most here, and -0.41 is a red flag for Hollick.
Market price is richer than the model suggests — 18.6% implied vs 0.2% modelled.
A debutant here. No past form at this course to reference.
Compound
Priced at 18.6% implied vs 0.2% modelled, with a course fit rank of 99th in 143. The skillset-to-venue mismatch may explain the model's scepticism.
Model Top 3
Joaquin Niemann
Rank #30#1
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+1.45
Recent form
Key edge: +0.76 Approach
Eugenio Chacarra
Rank #47#2
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.98
Recent form
T21
Key edge: +0.48 Off the Tee
Patrick Reed
Rank #48#3
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.65
Recent form
Key edge: +0.47 Approach
Strokes Gained BreakdownSG Total: +-0.71
Off the Tee-0.41
Tour rank: Top 80
Approach-0.07
Tour rank: Top 80
Around Green+0.02
Tour rank: Top 80
Putting-0.26
Tour rank: Top 80
Finish Distribution
Not enough results for volatility analysis
Approach Skill Profile
Loading approach data…
Full Field Predictions
#PlayerWinTop 5Top 10Top 20Cut