Tournament Complete
🏆 WINNERMarco Penge(-10)
MP
World #101· ENG·0 starts·Best: -
ENG·0 starts·Best: -Rising
T4
T16
T64
Win probability
0.0%
12.52%
Top 5
21.35%
Top 10
34.81%
Top 20
71.25%
Make Cut
Skill profile vs course demands
Player
Course demands
Key probabilities
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Course history
0
Avg Finish
0
Starts
-
Key Insights
Off the Tee is king here, and Penge's +0.61 is exactly what this layout rewards.
A top-4 course fit in the field based on SG alignment with course demands.
Only 0 players in this field have a higher SG:OTT.
The market rates Penge higher than the model. Consensus odds imply 35.6% but the model gives 3.1%.
Zero prior starts — this is uncharted territory for the player.
Compound
Bookmakers offer 2.8 but the model implies 32.1. The market's confidence outstrips the model's — name value may be inflating the price.
Model Top 3
Tyrrell Hatton
Rank #32#1
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.97
Recent form
Key edge: +0.32 Approach
Patrick Reed
Rank #46#2
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.70
Recent form
Key edge: +0.45 Approach
Tom McKibbin
Rank #90#3
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.66
Recent form
Key edge: +0.44 Off the Tee
Strokes Gained BreakdownSG Total: +0.52
Off the Tee+0.61
Tour rank: Top 15
Approach+0.10
Tour rank: Top 80
Around Green-0.11
Tour rank: Top 80
Putting-0.09
Tour rank: Top 80
Marco Penge — VolatilityBoom/Bust
Std Dev
25.9
Top 10
33%
MC Rate
0%
Consistency
33%
Approach Skill Profile
Loading approach data…
Full Field Predictions
#PlayerWinTop 5Top 10Top 20Cut