Tournament Complete
🏆 WINNERScott Jamieson(-11)
SJ
World #383· SCO·0 starts·Best: -
SCO·0 starts·Best: -Steady
Win probability
0.0%
2.24%
Top 5
5.07%
Top 10
11.48%
Top 20
51.01%
Make Cut
Skill profile vs course demands
Player
Course demands
Key probabilities
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Course history
0
Avg Finish
0
Starts
-
Key Insights
The market rates Jamieson higher than the model. Consensus odds imply 11.0% but the model gives 0.4%.
Zero prior starts — this is uncharted territory for the player.
Compound
Priced at 11.0% implied vs 0.4% modelled, with a course fit rank of 82nd in 121. The skillset-to-venue mismatch may explain the model's scepticism.
Model Top 3
Patrick Reed
Rank #46#1
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.70
Recent form
Key edge: +0.45 Approach
Eugenio Chacarra
Rank #78#2
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.59
Recent form
T21
Key edge: +0.42 Approach
Casey Jarvis
Rank #97#3
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
+0.34
Recent form
Key edge: +0.25 Off the Tee
Strokes Gained BreakdownSG Total: +-0.91
Off the Tee-0.14
Tour rank: Top 80
Approach-0.73
Tour rank: Top 80
Around Green-0.06
Tour rank: Top 80
Putting+0.03
Tour rank: Top 80
Finish Distribution
Not enough results for volatility analysis
Approach Skill Profile
Loading approach data…
Full Field Predictions
#PlayerWinTop 5Top 10Top 20Cut