Win probabilityLive
0.0%
Pre-tournament4.53%↑15.5%
52.016%
Top 5
67.208%
Top 10
41.43%
Top 20
98.496%
Make Cut
Skill profile vs course demands
Player
Course demands
Key probabilitiesLive
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Course history
0
Avg Finish
0
Starts
-
Prediction evolutionLive
Blades Brown
4.5%→20.0%
↑15.5%
Noah Goodwin
1.0%→7.8%
↑6.8%
John Pak
1.4%→5.4%
↑4.1%
Jeremy Paul
0.3%→4.2%
↑3.9%
Cooper Dossey
3.0%→0.2%
↓2.8%
Key Insights
Ranked 1st in course fit — skill profile closely matches what this layout demands.
Top 2 in the field for Approach (+0.00).
Ranked 3rd in the field for SG:PUTT — elite company.
Overvalued by the market: implied probability of 9.0% vs model's 4.5%.
Zero prior starts — this is uncharted territory for the player.
Compound
Momentum shift: Brown is now at T2 with a live win probability of 20.0% — up from 4.5% pre-tournament. The model's confidence has surged.
Compound
Bookmakers offer 11.1 but the model implies 22.1. The market's confidence outstrips the model's — name value may be inflating the price.
Model Top 3
Blades Brown
Rank #97#1
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
0.00
Recent form
T40
T3
Key edge: 0.00 Off the Tee
Cooper Dossey
Rank #129#2
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
0.00
Recent form
Key edge: 0.00 Off the Tee
Ian Gilligan
Rank #151#3
Win probability
0.0%
SG Total
0.00
Recent form
Key edge: 0.00 Off the Tee
Strokes Gained BreakdownSG Total: +0.00
Off the Tee0.00
Tour rank: Top 80
Approach0.00
Tour rank: Top 80
Around Green0.00
Tour rank: Top 80
Putting0.00
Tour rank: Top 80
Finish Distribution
Not enough results for volatility analysis
Approach Skill Profile
Loading approach data…
Full Field Predictions
#PlayerWinTop 5Top 10Top 20Cut